BEST MOTION PICTURE
A Beautiful Mind
Gosford Park
In the Bedroom
Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring
Moulin Rouge
Should Win: Lord of the Rings Why: Once again, just like last time, my favorite film of the year wasn't nominated, so I have to root for my second favorite, which is Lord of the Rings. (My favorite this year was Memento) Will Win: Lord of the Rings Why: I could very easily see A Beautiful Mind taking this one, but I think that when it comes right down to it for Best Picture, the Academy just can't resist an epic! (or a third of one!) ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Russell Crowe in A Beautiful Mind
Sean Penn in I Am Sam
Will Smith in Ali
Denzel Washington in Training Day
Tom Wilkinson in In the Bedroom
Should Win: Will Smith Why: A tough race here, but anyone who has seen the movie will agree that Will Smith was Muhammed Ali. To accurately portray such a well known real person is incredibly difficult to accomplish, especially for an actor so recognizable as Smith. A truly fantastic performance which should be awarded! My second choice would be Sean Penn. Will Win: Sean Penn Why: Russell won last year, and those who realize now that Gladiator didn't really require a great deal of actual 'acting' may try to even things out this year by denying him a second award. I think the Academy may also have a bias against Will Smith for other less serious roles he has played and continues to play, and won't think he's quite ready to receive the Oscar. Denzel Washington, while a favorite of the Hollywood elite, will once again go home empty handed, as his performance in Training Day was the least impressive of those nominated. Sean Penn's excellent performance in I Am Sam will win, not because the Academy has a track record for honoring roles that are of a physically or mentally challenged nature, but because, well, okay, maybe that is why he'll win... Anyway, I think the Academy will finally decide the time is right to award his fine work.
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Halle Berry in Monster's Ball
Judi Dench in Iris
Nicole Kidman in Moulin Rouge
Sissy Spacek in In the Bedroom
Renee Zellweger in Bridget Jones's Diary
Should Win: Nicole Kidman Why: Talk about versatility! Nicole Kidman shows incredible range with the character of Satine in Moulin Rouge. Also, Kidman is beginning to become nearly as prolific as Julia Roberts, with three vastly different films out last year. (Moulin Rouge, The Others, Birthday Girl) That's pretty difficult to ignore.
Will Win: Halle Berry Why: Another prolific actress, Berry has worked her way up from silly comedies and action flicks to finally arrive as a first class dramatic talent. Nicole Kidman may be snubbed by the Academy as Moulin Rouge director Baz Luhrmann has been. (Apparently the Academy thinks Moulin Rouge directed itself... perhaps they'll decide it acted, sang, and danced itself, too!) Judi Dench seems to be nominated because, well, she always seems to be nominated, so no win there. And Renee Zellweger, my favorite Hollywood actress, only got the nomination this year to make up for her non-nomination last year for Nurse Betty. Her work in Bridget Jones was great, but not quite to the level of other nominees. Sorry Renee, the truth sometimes hurts. So, the main competition is Sissy Spacek, but I'm predicting Halle Berry in an upset win. (Barring my predicted upset, it's gonna be Sissy Spacek.)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Jimmy Neutron: Boy Genius
Monsters, Inc.
Shrek
Should Win: Shrek No question, no doubt, no competition! Will Win: Shrek This is a new category, and Shrek is really the only worthy nominee. The Academy already knows this. Monsters, Inc. was fun, but lacked the comedic depth which made Shrek as fun for adults as it was for children. Jimmy Neutron was only nominated so there would be three nominees. You may ask why Disney's Atlantis wasn't nominated... the answer: It's a Disney movie which isn't a musical, and besides, the nomination for Monsters, Inc. sort of counts as a nomination for Disney anyway. Yes, even animation will not escape the politics of Oscar! |