BEST DIRECTOR
Stephen Daidy for Billy Elliot
Ang Lee for Crouching Tiger
Steven Soderbergh for Erin Brockovich
Ridley Scott for Gladiator
Steven Soderbergh for Traffic
Should Win: Ridley Scott Why: From a directing standpoint, I was more impressed with Gladiator's overall look than with the lighting gimmicks of Soderbergh's Traffic. I saw nothing in the direction of Erin Brockovich that would put it above, or even equal to, films that were not even nominated. Crouching Tiger and Billy Elliot both use some wonderful directing techniques, but can't hold a candle to Gladiator. Will Win: Steven Soderbergh Why: When comparing Erin Brockovich to Traffic, there's a great difference in directing style, so the double nomination that'll keep Soderbergh from nabbing Best Picture doesn't apply here. His only competition is Ridley Scott. Scott won't win because we're about due for a year where the Academy will inexplicably award this and Best Picture to two different films. (Go figure!) ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Jeff Bridges in The Contender
Willem Dafoe in Shadow of the Vampire
Benicio Del Toro in Traffic
Albert Finney in Erin Brockovich
Joaquin Phoenix in Gladiator
Should Win: Willem Dafoe Why: This is a tough choice for me, since, in my opinion, each of this year's nominees deserve the award. Dafoe's chilling performance as Max Schreck is the one that stayed with me the longest, so I'm rooting for him. Will Win: Benicio Del Toro Why: Benicio is just a wild guess. I think the Academy will feel the time is right to award him for a supporting role. They may go for Dafoe, but, as stated above, this one's just too close to call. (I hope a re-count will not be necessary!) ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Judi Dench in Chocolat
Marcia Gay Harden in Pollock
Kate Hudson in Almost Famous
Frances McDormand in Almost Famous
Julie Walters in Billy Elliot
Should Win: Frances McDormand Why: Had Crouching Tiger not been nominated for Best Picture, I think Almost Famous would have made the cut. The film deserves a win, and Frances McDormand gives a fantastic performance, which deserves to be awarded. I was not as impressed with Kate Hudson's performance in the same film. Will Win: Julie Walters Why: The Academy will realize that none of the British nominees have won in other categories, so Julie will take home the Oscar. Say what you want, but, based on the Academy's past voting history, that's an accurate assumption! Therefore, her only competition is Judi Dench. Julie Walter's role in Billy Elliot was much larger than Judi Dench's in Chocolat, so Julie will win. While Julie Walters was very good as the tough but understanding ballet teacher in Billy Elliot, I still think Frances McDormand gave a better performance. |